045
FLUS44 KTSA 122156
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING...EASTERN OKLAHOMA
OVERNIGHT.
ONSET...ONGOING.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...OVERNIGHT EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING NEAR A WEAK
BOUNDARY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BRIEFLY
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS BEING THE
MAIN THREAT.
LATER TONIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO INCREASE
IN COVERAGE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY...ALONG WITH A WITH A
LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RAISE THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...THEREFORE A
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING TUESDAY MORNING WITH
A RISK OF BOTH SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING. ADDITIONAL
STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...
WHILE SHIFTING SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH ALONG WITH THE SLOW MOVING
SURFACE FRONT. THE FRONT IS LIKELY TO PUSH NEAR THE RED RIVER BY
EARLY THURSDAY...WITH DRY AND MILD WEATHER PREVAILING FOR LATE WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$