499
FNUS55 KPSR 122048
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
148 PM MST MON AUG 12 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A DRIER ATMOSPHERE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THIS WEEK. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN GILA
COUNTY FOR A DAILY THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS. DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITY
WILL HOVER IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE LOWER DESERTS OF SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...FOLLOWED BY GOOD OVERNIGHT
RECOVERY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...FAVORING DIURNAL PATTERNS WITH LOCAL
UPSLOPE GUSTINESS IN THE AFTERNOON.
...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-130900-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
148 PM MST MON AUG 12 2013
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-79.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................22-37 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................100-109.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................6-11 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................71-81.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................22-46 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................102-111.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......14500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-86. HIGHS 103-111. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 78-88. HIGHS 103-112. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-89. HIGHS 102-112. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 78-88. HIGHS 102-111.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 78-88. HIGHS 101-110.
$$
AZZ133-130900-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
148 PM MST MON AUG 12 2013
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................62-74.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-67 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-103.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-19 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................29-53 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-104.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-18 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 65-76. HIGHS 88-104. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 65-76. HIGHS 88-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 65-76. HIGHS 86-103. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 65-76. HIGHS 86-102.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 65-76. HIGHS 85-102.
$$
AZZ131-CAZ231-130900-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
148 PM MST MON AUG 12 2013 /148 PM PDT MON AUG 12 2013/
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................71-77.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................27-42 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................102-107.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........9500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-78.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................28-48 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................103-109.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........10300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-84. HIGHS 104-109. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 82-86. HIGHS 105-111. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 82-86. HIGHS 105-110. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 80-85. HIGHS 105-110.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 80-84. HIGHS 105-110.
$$
CAZ230-130900-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
148 PM PDT MON AUG 12 2013
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-77.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-36 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-101.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................65-78.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-33 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-102.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 68-82. HIGHS 89-106. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 68-82. HIGHS 88-106. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 69-82. HIGHS 88-106. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 69-81. HIGHS 88-105.
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 69-80. HIGHS 88-105.
$$
CAZ232-130900-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
148 PM PDT MON AUG 12 2013
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-79.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................22-46 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................96-107.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................74-80.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-50 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................97-109.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-85. HIGHS 99-109. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 80-85. HIGHS 100-111. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 81-85. HIGHS 100-110. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-85. HIGHS 100-111.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-83. HIGHS 100-110.
$$
.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...TUESDAY AUGUST 20TH THROUGH THURSDAY AUGUST
22ND...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.