Fire Weather Planning


458 
FNUS55 KPSR 161017
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
317 AM MST WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A FEW NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS
OF THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE UNSEASONABLY LIGHT AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN
THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT COOLER THAN
NORMAL AS DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS...WHILE GOOD
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY CAN BE EXPECTED.
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-162230-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
317 AM MST WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................77-84. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......7500 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHEAST 4 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR. 
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-58. 
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................32-44 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-86. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......6500 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 2 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........MARGINAL. 
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 48-58. HIGHS 80-87. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-59. HIGHS 80-87. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-59. HIGHS 80-87. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-59. HIGHS 79-87. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-59. HIGHS 80-87. 
$$
AZZ133-162230-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
317 AM MST WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................67-80. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................38-50. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-44 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................69-81. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 39-50. HIGHS 69-82. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-52. HIGHS 69-82. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-52. HIGHS 69-82. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-52. HIGHS 69-82. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-53. HIGHS 71-82. 
$$
AZZ131-CAZ231-162230-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
317 AM MST WED OCT 16 2013 /317 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013/
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-85. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........6500 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 10 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD. 
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-57. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-49 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-87. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7000 FT AGL. 
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTHWEST 4 KNOTS. 
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR. 
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 49-58. HIGHS 82-88. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-58. HIGHS 82-88. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-58. HIGHS 82-87. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-58. HIGHS 82-87. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-58. HIGHS 82-88. 
$$
CAZ230-162230-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
317 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................65-78. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................45-54. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................21-30 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................69-82. 
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 47-56. HIGHS 68-82. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-56. HIGHS 69-82. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 47-56. HIGHS 69-83. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-55. HIGHS 68-82. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-55. HIGHS 67-82. 
$$
CAZ232-162230-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
317 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-86. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. 
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................53-61. 
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. 
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-43 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................78-87. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT. 
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
  MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
* LAL.............................1. 
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 79-88. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 79-87. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 79-87. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-62. HIGHS 78-86. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-61. HIGHS 78-86. 
$$
.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 23RD THROUGH FRIDAY OCTOBER
25TH...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.