Supression Forecast


952 
FNUS73 KPAH 141456
FWSPAH
Spot Forecast for West Tract Block 1...USFS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
856 AM CST Thu Dec 14 2017
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on December 14. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure drifting southeast toward the region will keep 
rainfree conditions over the quad state region for the next
few days. Temperatures will remain on the cool side. There will
be a strong inversion around four thousand feet and will remain 
there for the next 48 hours. This will be strong enough to prevent
any particulates from rising above that altitude.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Temperature.........33 at ignition...Max 37. 
RH..................66 percent at ignition...Min 54 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Winds north at 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL at ignition...Increasing to 4400 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3. 
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  
Weather cov.....                                   
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                   
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      
Temp............33     35     36     36     34     
RH..............66     61     56     56     61     
20 FT wind dir..N      N      N      N      N      
20 FT wind spd..7      6      5      5      3      
20 FT wind gust.                            5      
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   3200   4000   4400   4300   
Transp wind dir.N      N      N      NW     NW     
Transp wind spd.10     7      5      5      3      
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming 
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Temperature.........Min 25. 
RH..................Max 78 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Light winds. 
Mixing height.......2400-4200 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 3 to 5 mph. 
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0      
Temp............32     30     29     28     28     28     
RH..............66     72     72     75     71     71     
20 FT wind dir..N      NW     NW     NW     W      W      
20 FT wind spd..2      2      2      1      2      2      
20 FT wind gust.5      5      5      5      5      5      
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   4200   4100   3900   3900   3100   
Transp wind dir.NW     NW     NW     NW     W      W      
Transp wind spd.3      5      5      3      5      5      
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3      
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Temperature.........Max 43. 
RH..................Min 44 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph. 
Mixing height.......1500-3300 ft AGL increasing to 4200-5900 ft AGL 
                    in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....West 6 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph 
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the 
                    southwest around 10 mph late in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0      
Temp............26     28     34     40     43     40     
RH..............78     75     61     50     47     52     
20 FT wind dir..W      W      W      W      W      W      
20 FT wind spd..3      5      7      8      8      7      
20 FT wind gust.5                    10     10            
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   1500   2500   4200   5500   5900   
Transp wind dir.W      W      W      W      W      W      
Transp wind spd.6      9      14     18     21     16     
Haines index....2      3      3      3      4      4      
$$
Forecaster...HOOPER
Requested by...Whit Jiter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719985.0/PAH
.EMAIL wjiter@fs.fed.us