Hazardous Weather Outlook


162 
FLUS44 KOUN 131020
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 13 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-131700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 13 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
EXPECTED. ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT ISOLATED 
STORMS PRODUCING 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN 
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING. 
DISCUSSION... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR 
MUCH OF OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE 
MAIN THREAT AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE 
AREA. BY LATE AFTERNOON THE FRONT WILL MOVE TO NEAR THE RED RIVER 
VALLEY. A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE SOUTH OF 
THE FRONT AND A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE FRONT IN 
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING. ISOLATED STORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH WILL 
BE POSSIBLE.  
  
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY AUG 14. 
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL SUPPORT THE 
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING...ACROSS NORTHERN...CENTRAL OKLAHOMA 
AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH THIS EVENING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY AS A COLD 
FRONT SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE IN WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE 
FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...BUT CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL 
REMAIN LOW. 
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 
NOON TODAY.
$$