Area Forecast Discussion


653 
FXUS64 KOUN 161954
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
254 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE TEXAS
HIGH PLAINS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THIS SYSTEM HAS LEAD TO
WIDESPREAD MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS HAVE ACCOMPANIED
THIS SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES WILL CONTINUE FROM WEST CENTRAL TO
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING. THIS SHIELD OF CLOUDS AND EVAPORATIVE COOLING VIA SHOWERS
HAS KEPT TEMPS FAR BELOW NORMAL FOR MID OCTOBER. HIGHS HAVE RANGED
FROM THE UPPER 40S NORTHWEST TO THE MID 60S SOUTHEAST...WHERE
FEWER CLOUDS ARE NOTED.
AS THE UPPER WAVE EXITS TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT...LINGERING
SPRINKLES WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD
INVADE MUCH OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY TOMORROW MORNING.
THIS COMBINED WITH LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO
FALL TO NEAR FREEZING ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. PATCHY FROST
WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN LOW LYING AREAS...BUT NO ADVISORIES ARE
NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TOMORROW...WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. A SECOND STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF COOL AND DAMP
WEATHER. SHOWERS WILL ENTER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND SPREAD
SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE EXITING TO
THE EAST. COMBINATION OF A COLD POST FRONTAL AIRMASS AND
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL PROMOTE COLD DAYTIME TEMPS ON
FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...WHERE MANY AREAS
WILL REMAIN IN THE 40S. ELSEWHERE...50S AND 60S WILL BE THE RULE.
AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MAY OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS...BUT VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT AND LITTLE
MORE THAN A RUMBLE OF THUNDER AND SOME HEAVIER RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ANY STORMS THAT FORM.
BEYOND FRIDAY...PERSISTENT NORTHWEST MID LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE
TO PROMOTE RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  41  70  47  60 /   0   0  10  50 
HOBART OK         41  72  51  59 /   0   0  10  50 
WICHITA FALLS TX  43  73  49  68 /   0   0  10  40 
GAGE OK           34  71  41  49 /   0   0  20  50 
PONCA CITY OK     39  70  41  53 /  10  10  10  60 
DURANT OK         45  71  47  70 /  10  10   0  20 
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
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