227
FXUS63 KOAX 130837
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
337 AM CDT TUE AUG 13 2013
.DISCUSSION...
WEAK WAA ALONG THE H85 MOISTURE GRADIENT OVER NORTH CENTRAL NEB
HAS ALLOWED FOR SCT TSRA EARLY THIS MORNING. WE FEEL THAT MOST OF
THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF OUR FA...BUT WILL INCLUDE
A SCHC POP IN THE FAR WESTERN ROW OF COUNTIES IN CASE ONE OF
THESE SNEAKS IN THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE QUIET WEATHER IS GENERALLY
EXPECTED THROUGH WED. BY WED AFTERNOON THE SHRTWV TROUGH CURRENT
OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL TOP THE WRN RIDGE AND DRIFT SEWD INTO
THE CNTRL PLAINS FOR THU AND EXIT THE AREA ON FRI. THE 00Z 13 AUG
GFS APPEARS TO BE SUFFERING FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND WAS NOT USED...BUT NAM/EC/GEM ARE CONSISTENT IN SCT
ACTIVITY SLOWLY MOVG FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACRS THE CWA
DURING THIS TIME. THE CWA SHOULD DRY OUT BY THE WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE
NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT APPEARS TO BRING AT LEAST A SCHC FOR
SHRA/TSRA FOR MON/TUE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS FOR KOMA...KLNK AND KOFK.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. MID CLOUDS AND HIGH
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AND THERE MAY BE SOME LOWER CLOUDS OFF TO THE
WEST THRU 15Z. HIGH CLOUDS MAY HINDER FOG DEVELOPMENT...HOWEVER
EXPECT NEARLY CALM WINDS AND CLOUDS TO BE THIN ENOUGH THAT
INCLUDED SOME PATCHY MVFR VISIBILITIES WITH FOG AT KOMA/KLNK IN
THE MORNING.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&
$$