283
FNUS54 KMRX 130729
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
.DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION
TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA TRIGGERING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A NOTICEABLY DRIER AIR MASS WILL THEN
MOVE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (-4) 58-63 (-7) 72-77
RH % (24H TREND) 62-67 (+1) 92-97 (-2) 51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 7 NW 5 G15 N 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.03 0.00
LAL 4 3 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 N 7
DISPERSION 34 FAIR 18 GEN POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO
THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (-4) 57-62 (-6) 72-77
RH % (24H TREND) 59-64 (+5) 92-97 (-2) 52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 8 G16 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 9 G17 NW 6 LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.48 0.05 0.00
LAL 4 3 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 NW 8
DISPERSION 32 FAIR 14 GEN POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-140800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 76-81 (-5) 58-63 (-4) 72-77
RH % (24H TREND) 60-65 (+4) 92-97 (-1) 54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 9 G19 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 8 G17 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 20
PRECIP DURATION 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.06 0.02
LAL 4 3 2
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 N 6
DISPERSION 27 FAIR 8 POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10
MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-140800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 79-84 (-4) 61-66 (-3) 76-81
RH % (24H TREND) 60-65 (+3) 94-99 (+2) 55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 7 N 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR N 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 20
PRECIP DURATION 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.37 0.07 0.02
LAL 4 3 2
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 N 7
DISPERSION 35 FAIR 13 GEN POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-140800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (-7) 60-65 (-3) 76-81
RH % (24H TREND) 60-65 (+8) 94-99 (+3) 55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 8 G15 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 20
PRECIP DURATION 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.40 0.07 0.02
LAL 4 3 2
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 NW 6
DISPERSION 35 FAIR 12 POOR
MAX LVORI 4 5
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (-3) 59-64 (-6) 75-80
RH % (24H TREND) 57-62 (0) 91-96 (-3) 50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 8 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 8 G15 LGT/VAR N 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.46 0.05 0.00
LAL 4 3 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 N 6
DISPERSION 45 GEN GOOD 17 GEN POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (-3) 60-65 (-6) 76-81
RH % (24H TREND) 59-64 (+1) 91-96 (-3) 50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 7 N 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 6 LGT/VAR N 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.31 0.04 0.00
LAL 4 3 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 NE 8
DISPERSION 38 FAIR 25 FAIR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013 /500 AM CDT TUE AUG 13 2013/
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 81-86 (-3) 63-68 (-3) 77-82
RH % (24H TREND) 57-62 (0) 90-95 (-4) 53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 N 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 6 LGT/VAR N 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 0.06 0.00
LAL 4 3 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 N 9
DISPERSION 41 GEN GOOD 27 FAIR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO AN INCH OR TWO.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10
MPH.
$$