061
FNUS54 KMRX 161921
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...AHEAD OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT. THE SHOWERS END BY THURSDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY
DRY WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 51-56 (-1) 61-66 (-4) 40-45 62-67
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+10) 68-73 (+8) 95-100 38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 80 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.32 0.02 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 W 7
DISPERSION 15 GEN POOR 20 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-57 (+2) 60-65 (-3) 39-44 60-65
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+12) 69-74 (+12) 95-100 39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 80 40 0
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.40 0.03 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3700 5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 W 8
DISPERSION 18 GEN POOR 16 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-172030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 53-58 (+3) 61-66 (-1) 38-43 59-64
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+4) 69-74 (+5) 95-100 34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 90 40 0
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.40 0.03 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 NW 3
DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 5 VERY POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-172030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (+5) 64-69 (-2) 42-47 63-68
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+3) 68-73 (+5) 93-98 35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 90 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.32 0.02 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3100 5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 3
DISPERSION 18 GEN POOR 10 POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-172030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (+6) 65-70 (0) 41-46 65-70
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+4) 69-74 (+6) 95-100 29-34
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 90 40 0
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.36 0.03 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 NW 5
DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-57 (0) 63-68 (-4) 40-45 64-69
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+8) 68-73 (+9) 95-100 36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 80 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.35 0.02 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2500 4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 5
DISPERSION 16 GEN POOR 12 POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 53-58 (-1) 62-67 (-4) 40-45 65-70
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+5) 66-71 (0) 95-100 34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 80 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.22 0.01 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 NW 3
DISPERSION 12 POOR 12 POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
321 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013 /221 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013/
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 55-60 (0) 63-68 (-4) 42-47 66-71
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+10) 62-67 (-5) 91-96 35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5 N 5 LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 90 0 0
PRECIP DURATION 4 3
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.24 0.15 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 N 3
DISPERSION 12 POOR 11 POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
$$