766
FXUS64 KMRX 131118
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
720 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
.AVIATION...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT OVER THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY...GENERALLY STRETCHING FROM NEAR CINCINNATI SOUTHWEST TO NEAR
MEMPHIS. AREA RADARS REVEAL SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE
FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT...AS A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION. THIS UPPER
TROUGH IS PROGGED TO PUSH THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE TAF SITES THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION OCCURRING ALONG AND AHEAD OF
IT. FOR NOW...WILL MENTION VCSH THIS MORNING AND VCTS THIS AFTERNOON
IN ALL THREE TAFS...SINCE TIMING THE EXACT OCCURRENCE OF CONVECTION
AT THE TAF SITES WILL BE PROBLEMATIC. HOWEVER...WILL MENTION SOME
TEMPORARY IFR CONDITIONS AT KCHA DUE TO THE SHOWERS CURRENTLY OVER
SOUTHEAST TN. A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WILL OCCUR AT THE TAF
SITES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...BUT
OVERALL...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 10 KT THROUGHOUT THE
TAF PERIOD.
&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&
$$
DMG