Supression Forecast
302
FNUS72 KMHX 122136
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR STUMPY POINT MARSH...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
536 PM EDT MON AUG 12 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1726 EDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INLAND AND HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH TUESDAY NIGHT
AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT
WILL LINGER ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THURSDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND...WITH AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG IT. I ADDED TWO
ADDITIONAL FORECAST PERIODS TO COVER THROUGH TUESDAY.
.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 5 PM
SKY (%).............68
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR
TSTM COV............SCTTRD
TEMP................84
RH..................72
20 FT WIND..........S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....
LVORI...............3
ADI.................21
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH...ESPECIALLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 24
MPH LATE.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).............67 65 62 59 56 60
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
TEMP................83 81 80 79 79 79
RH..................74 85 88 91 88 88
20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 15 15
LVORI...............3 4 4 5 4 4
ADI.................18 13 14 13 14 20
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
23 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).............65 68 70 73 75 76
WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP................78 79 83 85 85 85
RH..................91 88 74 70 70 72
20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 12 SW 13 SW 14 SW 14 SW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 23 23
LVORI...............4 4 3 3 3 3
ADI.................22 27 32 68 78 67
$$
FORECASTER...FREDERICK
REQUESTED BY...APRIL SEKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130812.STUMP.01/MHX