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FLUS44 KLZK 130314 AAB
HWOLZK
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1015 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013
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1015 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT AS THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO ARKANSAS...AND
THE NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS OVER THE STATE.
ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE WEST...AND A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH TUESDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
A COLD FRONT WILL BE DROPPING SOUTH TOWARDS ARKANSAS ON
TUESDAY...WITH COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL
AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
2 TO 3 INCHES COULD BE SEEN IN THESE AREAS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SOME OF THESE SAME AREAS HAVE SEEN SEVERAL
INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST WEEK...WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS
IN PLACE IN SOME LOCATIONS. AS A RESULT...FLASH FLOODING WILL BECOME
THE MAIN CONCERN ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY THROUGH PART OF WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE STATE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THIS REASON THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ON WEDNESDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE
STATE...WITH THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHIFTING
FURTHER SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. THIS AREA OF
THE STATE HAS NOT SEEN NEARLY AS MUCH RAINFALL OVER THE PAST
WEEK...SO THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL NOT BE AS HIGH AS
AREAS TO THE NORTH. EVEN SO...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE
SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE STATE.
IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP TUESDAY AND INTO MUCH OF WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.
RUNOFF FROM THIS UPCOMING EVENT WILL EVENTUALLY GO INTO AREA RIVERS.
PORTIONS OF THE WHITE RIVER BASIN ARE ALREADY EXPERIENCING MINOR
FLOODING FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHERN
ARKANSAS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL INCREASE THE RISK FOR HIGHER
CRESTS. RISES ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON OTHER RIVERS SUCH AS THE
BUFFALO...LITTLE RED AND CACHE.
THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE STATE BY THURSDAY...WITH
DRIER AIR AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED LATE THIS WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
AT THIS TIME SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED MONDAY
NIGHT...BUT MAY BE NEEDED IN SPOTS ON TUESDAY.
&&
VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
$$
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