375
FGUS74 KLZK 121836 AAA
ESFLZK
ARC005-009-023-029-063-065-067-071-089-101-115-129-137-141-145-147-13
2100-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
100 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013
...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN TUESDAY WILL LIKELY CAUSE MORE FLOODING...
BOTH FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTH ARKANSAS BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS A POTENT COLD FRONT BRINGS HEAVY RAINFALL. THE SET UP
WILL BEGIN WITH A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE STATE
LATE TONIGHT. WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS FRONT.
STORMS COULD MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS REPEATEDLY BEFORE THE FRONT
PUSHES INTO SOUTH ARKANSAS ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. EXPECTED
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE STATE WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO
TWO INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF THREE INCHES.
AREAS OF GREATEST CONCERN ARE THE NORTHWESTERN QUARTER OF THE STATE
WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE EXCEEDED MORE THAN FOUR TO SIX INCHES IN
THE LAST FIVE DAYS.
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE INITIAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY NEAR SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND IN AREAS WITH POOR
DRAINAGE. CAMPERS IN THE OZARKS AND OUACHITAS SHOULD MONITOR
FORECAST CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...ESPECIALLY BEFORE ANY
RECREATIONAL USE ON THE RIVER...AS THEY WILL BE FLASHIER THAN
NORMAL. MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL BE SLOWER TO RISE...BUT RUNOFF WILL BE
FASTER THAN NORMAL DUE TO THE NEARLY SATURATED SOILS FROM THE
PREVIOUS RAIN EVENTS.
THE BLACK AND LOWER PORTION OF THE WHITE RIVER ARE ALREADY
EXPERIENCING MINOR FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL LAST WEEK IN
MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN MAY CAUSE HIGHER
CRESTS...PARTICULARLY FROM NEWPORT DOWNSTREAM TO CLARENDON. AT THIS
TIME...ONLY MINOR FLOOD CATEGORIES ARE ANTICIPATED BUT DUE TO THE
TIME OF YEAR...AGRICULTURE WILL BE IMPACTED. THE RIVERS AT GREATEST
RISK INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE BUFFALO...LITTLE
RED...CACHE...AND WHITE RIVER.
FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS
PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE
RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION.
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