513
FXUS65 KLKN 160919
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
219 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
.SYNOPSIS...VERY QUIET...FALL WEATHER IS ON TAP ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
THROUGH THE EARLY PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. COOL MORNINGS CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH PLEASANT AFTERNOONS.
&&
.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SATELLITE THIS MORNING IS
SHOWING CLEAR SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA. SOME HIGH CLOUDS ARE
PUSHING SOUTHWARD FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. IT IS RATHER COOL
OUT THERE UNDER A FAIRLY DRY AIR MASS.
MAIN FEATURE ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC CONTINUES TO BE A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED RIDGE. MEANWHILE...SHORTWAVE RIDGING MOVING IN THE
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP WEATHER QUIET THIS AFTERNOON. WILL
PROBABLY SEE SOME HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE DAY PER LATEST GFS BUFR
SOUNDINGS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN
ON THE COOL SIDE...AT OR JUST A BIT BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. QUIET AND TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP
A LID ON TEMPERATURES FROM RISING TOO MUCH...SO EXPECT HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S IN THE VALLEY LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT AND UNDER 15 MPH.
.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH A BLOCKING PATTERN FIRMLY IN CONTROL OF THE PATTERN
THROUGH THE LONG TERM. HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFF THE WEST COAST WILL
PRODUCE NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PRODUCING DRY WEATHER WITH COOL
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 20S WHICH
ARE NEAR NORMAL. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD AS RIDGE BEGINS TO SHIFT EASTWARD AND HEIGHTS RISE
SLIGHTLY.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSES ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE QUIET AND DRY WEATHER
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PERIOD. AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
&&
.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
86/90/90/86