071
FNUS53 KJKL 160954
FWFJKL
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...LOOK FOR SHOWERS TO MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT CROSSES INTO THE STATE. THIS FRONT WILL LINGER OVER THE
COAL FIELDS OF EAST KENTUCKY RESULTING IN SHOWERS STICKING AROUND
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN ON THURSDAY NIGHT
PROVIDING FOR DRY AND COOL WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S TODAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT DOWN INTO THE
UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S. COOLER AIR STARTS TO SEEP INTO THE REGION
LATER TONIGHT MAKING HIGHS ON THURSDAY AS MUCH AS 10 DEGREES COLDER
THAN THOSE OF TODAY WITH VALUES TOPPING OUT BETWEEN 60 AND 65 DEGREES
FOR MOST PLACES.
KYZ044-050>052-170300-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....75.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (74500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (43800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.
$$
KYZ058-059-068-069-079-083-170300-
ESTILL-POWELL-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (50900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 - 0.27 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.19 INCHES.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (41200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.
$$
KYZ060-104-106-108-111-170300-
MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRENCHBURG...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (56900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 INCHES.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.13 INCHES.
$$
KYZ107-109-112-114-116-170300-
JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...JACKSON...
BOONEVILLE...MANCHESTER
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS...BECOMING NUMEROUS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (62800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS...BECOMING NUMEROUS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.
$$
KYZ110-113-115-117-119-170300-
FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...HAZARD...HYDEN...
INEZ
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (62600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 INCHES.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (31300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.19 INCHES.
$$
KYZ080-084>087-170300-
LAUREL-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (44200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.20 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.17 INCHES.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.23 INCHES.
$$
KYZ088-118-120-170300-
HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARLAN...WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
554 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (58500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 INCHES.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (32000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.22 INCHES.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
IN THE FAR EAST. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JMW