Supression Forecast


653 
FNUS72 KJAX 130009
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 45...USFS OSC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
809 PM EDT MON AUG 12 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1957 EDT ON AUGUST 12. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...EAST COAST SEABREEZE WILL MAKE IT TO THE SITE 
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND MAY SEE A BRIEF WIND SHIFT TO
THE EAST. MAY ALSO SEE AN ISOLATED STORM AS A RESULT BUT NOT
EXPECTING MUCH ACTIVITY AFTER MIDNIGHT.      
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH WEDNESDAY KEEPING
WINDS LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS. ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED PRECIP CAN BE EXPECTED ON TUES WITH THE FOCUS
BEING ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY APPROACH
THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND BECOME STATIONARY INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES
BETWEEN 50-60 PERCENT ACROSS SE GA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. NE
FL WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION EACH
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...
NO SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION IS EXPECTED.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING 
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE 
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MISSING. 
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE 
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
LAL.................3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3400 FT AGL. 
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH. 
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. 
TIME (EDT)      7 PM   
SKY (%).........55     
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE 
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM 
TEMP............89     
RH..............64     
20 FT WIND......SW 3   
20 FT WIND GUST.5      
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8   
DISPERSION INDX.5      
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     
LAL.............3      
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING 
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE 
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. 
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH 
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 
                    MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL 
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. 
DISPERSION INDEX....5. 
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. 
LVORI...............5. 
TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   
SKY (%).........55     48     37     24     22     25     
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC                       
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............85     81     79     77     76     75     
RH..............64     75     82     87     90     94     
20 FT WIND......SW 3   E 5    SW 3   SW 3   SW 2   SW 1   
20 FT WIND GUST.5             5      5      5             
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   1600   1200   800    600    400    
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8   NW 6   W 5    SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      6      
DISPERSION INDX.5      5      3      3      4      6      
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     10     10     10     
LAL.............3      2      2      1      1      1      
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF 
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. 
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE 
                    IN THE MORNING. 
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2 UNTIL 1700...THEN 3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4500 FT AGL 
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 
                    3400-5300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON 
                    DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN 
                    INCREASING TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON 
                    DECREASING TO 26 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE 
                    EVENING. 
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. 
TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   
SKY (%).........34     34     39     48     51     51     
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE 
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM 
TEMP............76     87     93     96     94     90     
RH..............92     66     52     44     45     52     
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 3   W 6    W 6    SW 8   SW 8   
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10     
MIX HGT (FT)....500    2100   3700   5300   4300   3400   
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5   W 7    NW 8   W 8    W 8    W 9    
DISPERSION INDX.5      19     36     50     24     27     
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     20     20     30     
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      3      
$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...JOHN DITSCHLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130812.COMP4.01/JAX