102
FNUS54 KJAN 160859
FWFJAN
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY SHALLOW GROUND FOG IN THE EASTERN AREAS
EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT NO FOG ISSUES ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY MORNING. A COLD
FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST DELTA REGION FOR THIS MORNING.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH
WEST. THE RAINS WILL END FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY.
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-162230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 95 39 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (-12) 50 (-13) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 72 (+11) 100 (0) 46
20FT WND/AM(MPH) N 6 N 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) N 6 N 3 N 6
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 12 3
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.50-1.00 <0.10 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 535 1196
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1754 3925
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 N 3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 N 7
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 2675 3588
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 21048 27475
STAG INDEX 1 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 2 2
STABILITY C F C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 18 6 37
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-162230-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
HOLMES-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...NORTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 95 38 17
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (-9) 52 (-12) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (+9) 100 (0) 39
20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 5 N 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) NW 6 N 4 NW 6
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 9 3 1
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.50-1.00 0.10-0.25 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 625 1030
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2051 3380
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 N 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 N 8
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 3125 4120
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 20510 27040
STAG INDEX 1 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
STABILITY C E C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM
MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 15 5 34
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ028>033-037>039-162230-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...NORTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 92 48 36
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-5) 53 (-10) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (+8) 100 (0) 43
20FT WND/AM(MPH) SE 3 NW 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) NW 3 LGT/VAR N 5
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 7 3 2
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.25-0.50 0.10-0.25 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 754 703
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2475 2307
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 N 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 N 10
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 3770 3515
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 29700 23070
STAG INDEX 3 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 2 2
STABILITY B F C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 15 2 23
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ040>044-047>050-162230-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 86 44 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (-5) 55 (-10) 75
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (+10) 100 (0) 47
20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 4 N 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) NW 5 N 3 N 6
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 7 3 2
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.25-0.50 0.10-0.25 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1156 741
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3794 2432
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 N 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 N 10
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 6936 3705
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 49322 24320
STAG INDEX 3 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
STABILITY C F C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 25 3 24
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ045-046-051-052-057-058-162230-
NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 68 45 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 83 (0) 56 (-6) 76
RH % (24H TREND) 55 (+6) 100 (0) 50
20FT WND/AM(MPH) SE 3 NW 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR N 5
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 3 3 2
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.10-0.25 0.10-0.25 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1461 605
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4794 1984
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 NW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 NW 12
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 8766 3025
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 67116 23808
STAG INDEX 3 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 4 2
STABILITY C F C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 24 2 19
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
LAZ015-016-023>026-162230-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 84 46 21
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (-6) 53 (-12) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 61 (+4) 100 (0) 46
20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 4 NW 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) W 6 W 3 N 6
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 8 3 1
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.25-0.50 <0.10 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1181 1011
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3875 3317
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 N 13
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 5905 6066
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 38750 43121
STAG INDEX 1 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
STABILITY C F C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM
MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 24 5 34
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ053-054-059>062-162230-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...SOUTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 43 31
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (-6) 56 (-9) 75
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (+10) 100 (0) 50
20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 5 N 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 6 NW 3 N 6
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 6 3 2
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.10-0.25 0.10-0.25 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1525 669
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5004 2194
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 N 10
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 7625 3345
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 50040 21940
STAG INDEX 3 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
STABILITY C F C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 31 3 19
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ055-056-063>066-072>074-162230-
SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-
LAMAR-FORREST-
359 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
...SOUTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 46 35 41
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (-1) 58 (-6) 78
RH % (24H TREND) 47 (-2) 100 (0) 49
20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 3 NW 4
20FT WND/PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR NW 5
RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 2 2
RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.10-0.25 <0.10 <0.10
MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1674 725
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5491 2380
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 NW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 NW 12
VENT INDEX (METRIC) 10044 3625
VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 71383 28560
STAG INDEX 3 3 3
CATEGORY DAY 4 2
STABILITY C F C
WIND SHIFTS
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MAXIMUM LVORI 2 0 0
DISPERSION INDEX (%) 27 3 22
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
17