860
FNUS52 KILM 130925
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
525 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHEAST...WILL MERGE WITH THE PIEDMONT TROF
TODAY...THEN PUSH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT BEFORE
STALLING JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION DURING WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL
REMAIN STALLED THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...
BEFORE FINALLY LIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATE THIS
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.
NCZ105>110-140130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
525 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 60 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 92 73 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 8 SW 10 G24 NW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 12 G24 W 6 NE 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.39 0.27
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 5
INVERSION 83/0900 2000 80/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 57 94 58
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4990 3680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 22 NE 7
VENTILATION RATE 109780 25760
ADI EARLY 50 GEN GOOD 52 GEN GOOD 20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 69 GOOD 9 POOR 31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ096-099-140130-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
525 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 60 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 93 72 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 6 SW 7 N 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 12 W 5 NE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.36 0.23
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 2
INVERSION 82/0900 2000 79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 56 94 57
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5810 4120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 NE 9
VENTILATION RATE 145250 37080
ADI EARLY 62 GOOD 47 GEN GOOD 29 FAIR
ADI LATE 72 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-140130-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON
525 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 60 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 93 72 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 7 W 7 N 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 12 NW 3 NE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.30 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 2
INVERSION 81/0900 2000 78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 55 91 58
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5980 4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 NE 13
VENTILATION RATE 149500 57200
ADI EARLY 52 GEN GOOD 52 GEN GOOD 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 69 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-140130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
525 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 94 74 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 7 SW 9 G21 NW 4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 12 G21 W 6 NE 4
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.40 0.27
PRECIP DURATION 2 6 5
INVERSION 83/0900 2000 81/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 55 95 61
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5140 3930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 N 7
VENTILATION RATE 113080 27510
ADI EARLY 45 GEN GOOD 48 GEN GOOD 14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 65 GOOD 7 POOR 31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
68 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-140130-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
525 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 60 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 4
MAX/MIN TEMP 94 73 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 7 W 7 N 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 12 W 5 NE 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.37 0.25
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 2
INVERSION 83/0900 2000 80/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 54 94 58
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6200 4250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 NE 9
VENTILATION RATE 155000 38250
ADI EARLY 52 GEN GOOD 55 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR
ADI LATE 70 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 36 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-140130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
525 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 60 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 93 72 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 7 W 7 N 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11 NW 3 NE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.19 0.30 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 2
INVERSION 81/0900 2000 78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 54 92 58
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6160 4490
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 NE 13
VENTILATION RATE 147840 58370
ADI EARLY 53 GEN GOOD 61 GOOD 33 FAIR
ADI LATE 70 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 38 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
DOUGH