398
FNUS52 KILM 161919
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
319 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS THROUGH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE NORTHWEST LATE THURSDAY THEN STALL IN THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THERE IS A RISK FOR SHOWERS LATE WEEK AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE FRONT WILL GET SHOVED TO OUR SOUTH EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS DRY WEATHER.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-171130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
319 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 81 60 75
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 N 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 SW 8 N 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
INVERSION 1900 67/0900 1900 69/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 50 97 55
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4540 3510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 N 7
VENTILATION RATE 45400 24570
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 19 GEN POOR 32 FAIR 28 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 36 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-171130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
319 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 59 81 58 74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 N 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 SW 7 NE 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
INVERSION 1900 66/0900 1900 67/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 49 95 46
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5100 4010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 N 5
VENTILATION RATE 71400 20050
ADI EARLY 6 VERY POOR 28 FAIR 38 FAIR 32 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 46 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 9 1 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-171130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
319 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 81 60 76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 N 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 SW 7 NE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
INVERSION 1900 67/0900 1900 69/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 97 53 95 57
DSI 2 1
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4470 3180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 N 8
VENTILATION RATE 44700 25440
ADI EARLY 6 VERY POOR 25 FAIR 25 FAIR 31 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 35 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-171130-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
319 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 82 60 74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR SW 3 S 6 N 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 W 6 NE 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
INVERSION 1900 66/0900 1900 67/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 49 97 50
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5090 3640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 N 6
VENTILATION RATE 76350 21840
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 30 FAIR 38 FAIR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 47 GEN GOOD 1 VERY POOR 35 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 1 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-171130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
319 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 20 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 59 81 58 74
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR SW 3 SW 6 N 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 W 6 NE 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
INVERSION 1900 64/0900 1900 67/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 97 47 93 42
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5320 4550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NE 3
VENTILATION RATE 85120 13650
ADI EARLY 9 POOR 32 FAIR 39 FAIR 26 FAIR
ADI LATE 2 VERY POOR 51 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 1 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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