Area Forecast Discussion


419 
FXUS63 KICT 161746
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1246 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 233 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
A HEALTHY UPPER LEVEL WAVE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL RACE 
EASTWARD ACROSS KANSAS TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING 
MID-LEVEL MOISTENING/CLOUDS HOWEVER THE LOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN RATHER
DRY...THEREFORE ONLY EXPECTING VERY LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES ACROSS
SOUTHERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. A PLEASANT WEATHER DAY IS SHAPING
UP FOR THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH FAIRLY LIGHT WIND SPEEDS AND
DOWN SLOPE EFFECTS BOOSTING DAYTIME HIGHS IN TO THE MID AND UPPER
60S. MEANWHILE...NEXT UPPER LEVEL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER ALASKA WILL
RACE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND EJECT OUT INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE TO
WORK WITH...THUS BRING SOME CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE AREA ALONG WITH
COOLER DAYTIME HIGHS DUE TO CLOUDS/PRECIP.
.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 233 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT DRY AND MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE 
IN STORE FOR KANSAS THIS PERIOD...AS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT HINDERS 
ANY UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH FROM ACHIEVING ENOUGH MOISTURE 
TO CREATE PRECIPITATION. WESTERLY DOWN SLOPE FLOW WILL PROVIDE A
WARMING BOOST TO DAILY TEMPERATURES WITH NEAR NORMAL READINGS ON
SUNDAY/MONDAY. 
JAKUB
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
MAINLY SOUTHERN KANSAS. LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR SUBSIDENCE THIS
EVENING SHOULD RESULT IN A RAPID DEMISE TO ANY SPRINKLES/SHOWERS
THAT DEVELOP. MEANWHILE...NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10-15 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BACK TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST AND DIMINISH THIS
EVENING. CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 8-9K FT THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING BEFORE CLEARING BY AROUND 06Z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    59  39  68  42 /  10  10   0  10 
HUTCHINSON      59  37  67  41 /  10  10   0  10 
NEWTON          58  39  68  41 /  10  10   0  10 
ELDORADO        59  40  68  41 /  10  10   0  10 
WINFIELD-KWLD   60  40  70  43 /  20  20   0  10 
RUSSELL         58  36  65  39 /  10  10   0  10 
GREAT BEND      58  36  65  40 /  10  10   0  10 
SALINA          59  37  67  40 /  10  10   0  10 
MCPHERSON       58  37  67  40 /  10  10   0  10 
COFFEYVILLE     61  41  70  41 /  20  20   0  10 
CHANUTE         61  41  70  41 /  10  20   0  10 
IOLA            61  41  69  40 /  10  10   0  10 
PARSONS-KPPF    61  41  70  41 /  20  20   0  10 
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$