711
FXUS63 KGLD 161122
AFDGLD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
522 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 236 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013
LOW TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING SHOULD PRETTY MUCH TAKE CARE OF THE
NEED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL FROST/FREEZE HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE YEAR. IT
APPEARS MOST LOCATIONS GOT DOWN TO FREEZING OR BELOW BEFORE THE
HIGHER CLOUDS CAME IN AND RAISED TEMPERATURES ACROSS A PORTION OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THEREFORE THE MAIN FORECAST FOCUS SHIFTS TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF PRECIPITATION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AHEAD
OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH SWEEPING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE LARGE
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE HUDSON BAY INTO ALL BUT THE FAR WESTERN
UNITED STATES ON FRIDAY. EXPECT MAINLY LIGHT RAIN WITH THIS
SYSTEM...BUT THE FAR NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
APPEAR TO BE COLD ENOUGH FOR THE PRODUCTION OF SOME MIXED PHASE
PRECIPITATION INCLUDING SOME LIGHT SNOW. SINCE THERE IS NO CLOSED
LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...IT SHOULD TRANSITION THE REGION
FAIRLY QUICKLY WITH PRECIPITATION DIMINISHING FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHWEST BY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 236 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... MODELS ARE STILL SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY
WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND THE MID-LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN
CANADA...WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING OVER MOST OF THE MIDWEST AND
CENTRAL PLAINS CONTINUING TO INFLUENCE THE CWA THROUGH THE EXTENDED.
A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL ROTATE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF
THE MAIN MID-LEVEL LOW/TROUGH...SWINGING A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS
THROUGH THE CWA ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND MID-DAY ON TUESDAY.
SO FAR...BOTH DAYS APPEAR TO BE PRECIP-FREE SINCE LOW LEVELS REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY...BUT SUBSTANTIAL MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
ALSO ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY. WHILE THERE IS DECENT LIFT
WITH EACH SHORTWAVE TROUGH...BETTER MOISTURE WOULD BE NEEDED FOR
PRECIPITATION. ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE ALONG AND BEHIND EACH COLD FRONT. AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED...THE EXTENDED SHOULD REMAIN DRY AS OF RIGHT NOW.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
60S AND LOWS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 508 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WESTERLY
WINDS BETWEEN 5 TO 10 KTS WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH INCREASING CLOUDS
THIS AFTERNOON FROM A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT MOVES THROUGH
TO THE SOUTH OF BOTH TERMINALS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.
&&
.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING FOR
KSZ001-013.
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING FOR
KSZ002>004-014>016-027>029-041-042.
CO...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING FOR COZ090>092.
NE...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ079.
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ080-081.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...ALW
AVIATION...ALW