Supression Forecast
910
FNUS75 KGJT 151045
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR EAGLES NEST...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
445 AM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE
TODAY CAUSING LOW CLOUDS AND SOME SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS POSSIBLE AS THIS
DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH TODAY
AND WILL BE LIGHT IN NATURE CAUSING SMOKE DISPERSAL TO BE POOR
THROUGH TOMORROW. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY THOUGH AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE VERY LIGHT.
AFTER THAT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND BEYOND.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.
$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20131015.EAGLE.01/GJT