767
FXUS64 KFWD 162024
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
324 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL OCCUPY MUCH OF THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF NOAM THROUGH THIS FORECAST. COME NEXT WEEK SPLIT FLOW
WILL DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTH PLAINS TO THE CALIFORNIA COAST AS
STRONG SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT
LAKES.
THE ON GOING LIGHT RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES WILL DIMINISH
WITH TIME THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY DECREASING CLOUDINESS
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATER TONIGHT. EXPECTING TOMORROW TO BE MOSTLY
SUNNY AND WARMER.
THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED OFF THE TEXAS COAST AND SHOULD REMAIN
SO UNTIL FRIDAY WHILE ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA
FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE SOME LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT...BUT IT WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT VERY HIGH POPS.
THUS WE WILL CARRY 20-40 POPS FOR LIGHT RAINFALL ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTIES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...AND ALONG
THE RED RIVER NEAR THE FRONT.
SATURDAY WILL BE DRY AND COOL FOLLOWED BY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT...ALBEIT DRY...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE
CWA ON MONDAY NIGHT. THE EXTENDED MODELS DIFFER ON THE DEGREE OF
COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT...AND AS EXPECTED THE ECMWF HAS A
COLD BIAS COMPARED TO THE GFS. FOR NOW...WILL ACCEPT SOME COOLING
HERE LOCALLY BUT THINK MOST OF THE COLD AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...WHICH IS CLOSER
TO THE LOWER HEIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH. 75
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 48 73 50 70 51 / 10 5 5 10 20
WACO, TX 49 73 51 70 53 / 20 5 5 20 30
PARIS, TX 47 70 48 69 50 / 10 5 5 10 10
DENTON, TX 46 69 50 68 48 / 10 5 5 20 20
MCKINNEY, TX 47 73 48 70 49 / 10 5 5 10 10
DALLAS, TX 49 74 50 71 50 / 10 5 5 10 20
TERRELL, TX 48 72 48 71 51 / 10 5 5 10 10
CORSICANA, TX 49 72 50 72 53 / 10 5 5 10 30
TEMPLE, TX 50 73 51 70 53 / 20 5 5 20 40
MINERAL WELLS, TX 43 70 49 68 47 / 10 5 5 30 20
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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