939
FNUS53 KDTX 160735
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
325 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT LAST NIGHT WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF A
TRANSITION TOWARD COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FROM THE END OF THIS WEEK INTO AT LEAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-162100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
325 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 5 PM...THEN SCATTERED
SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6020-6520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST 25
TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2670-2870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7280-7780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-162100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
325 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 5 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6440-6940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1990-2190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL NOON...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5990-6490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-162100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
325 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). POP...20
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......37 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6370-6870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST 25 TO
30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 9 PM UNTIL 7 AM...THEN SCATTERED
SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......940-1140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.
POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5510-6010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS AROUND 50.
$$
SC/CB