495
FNUS75 KBYZ 122117
FWSBYZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR EMIGRANT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
317 PM MDT MON AUG 12 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1458 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE UNTIL AFTER WEDNESDAY...AS HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...BUT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL CONTINUES EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BETTER TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY...WITH MORE ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES PUSHING ACROSS
THE BURN SITE EACH EVENING. 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. OTHERWISE...ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS SHOULD BE
SLOPE DOMINANT WITH OCCASIONAL THERMAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH EACH
AFTERNOON. RH RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR TONIGHT...BUT MUCH IMPROVED
RECOVERIES TUESDAY NIGHT. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE TEENS
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.
$$
FORECASTER...GILSTAD
REQUESTED BY...SHELBY MAJORS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130812.EMIGR.01/BYZ