248
FNUS51 KBUF 160836
FWFBUF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
436 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL BRING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED
BY A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER AROUND MID DAY. ANOTHER BATCH OF
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
NYZ001-002-010>012-085-162115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
436 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 80 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 49 60
AM WIND (MPH) S 12 SW 9
PM WIND (MPH) SW 17 SW 13 W 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.30 0.13 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 7 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING 5 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 65 86 62
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
LAL 4 4 1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3980 50 6200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 22 SW 10 SW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 87560 500 80600
DISPERSION INDEX 88 1 81
REMARKS...NONE.
$$
NYZ019>021-162115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
436 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 80 40
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 47 57
AM WIND (MPH) S 11 SW 8
PM WIND (MPH) S 16 SW 13 SW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.31 0.20 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 7 5 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 66 92 62
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
LAL 4 4 1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4440 0 5330
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 23 W 13 SW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 102120 0 47970
DISPERSION INDEX 102 0 48
REMARKS...NONE.
$$
NYZ003>005-013-014-162115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
436 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 90 0
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 50 61
AM WIND (MPH) S 11 SW 8
PM WIND (MPH) S 15 SW 12 W 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.24 0.21 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 62 87 57
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
LAL 4 4 1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4600 90 6240
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 21 W 12 W 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 96600 1080 68640
DISPERSION INDEX 97 1 69
REMARKS...NONE.
$$
NYZ006>008-162115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
436 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 80 90 40
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 51 60
AM WIND (MPH) S 12 W 10
PM WIND (MPH) S 14 S 13 W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.43 0.05
PRECIP DURATION 4 9 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 65 94 66
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
LAL 1 4 1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4460 260 6250
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) S 18 S 16 W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 80280 4160 100000
DISPERSION INDEX 80 4 100
REMARKS...NONE.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$