375
FXUS64 KAMA 130852
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
352 AM CDT TUE AUG 13 2013
.DISCUSSION...
CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE EARLY THIS MORNING. A WEST TO EAST BAND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE IS LIKELY BEING
ENHANCED BY A LOW LEVEL JET MOVING UP AND OVER THE FRONT. THIS
ACTIVITY IS ALSO BEING HELPED ALOFT BY A JET MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
COLORADO AND SOUTHERN KANSAS. WOULD EXPECT THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE MORNING AND THEY
SHOULD SLOWLY SAG SOUTH.
MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES
THROUGH THE INCREASINGLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH A NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE PANHANDLES THROUGH SATURDAY. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANYTIME DAY AND NIGHT AS
THEY WILL DEPEND THE TIMING OF THE INDIVIDUAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS
AND THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY ON ANY GIVEN DAY.
HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ADDED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY AS A STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA FROM
THE NORTHWEST.
THERE WILL ALSO BE BOUTS OF SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY...SO TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY. FOR NOW HAVE GONE
ON THE COOL SIDE OF GUIDANCE THROUGH THURSDAY AS CLOUDS LOOK TO BE
MORE DOMINATE THAN SUNSHINE DURING THIS PERIOD.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY DUE TO THE EXPECTED RAINFALL. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL ALSO STAY ABOVE 20 PERCENT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX 85 60 82 64 85 / 50 60 40 40 30
BEAVER OK 79 59 83 64 87 / 50 50 30 30 20
BOISE CITY OK 79 59 82 61 88 / 50 60 40 50 30
BORGER TX 84 63 84 67 88 / 50 60 40 40 20
BOYS RANCH TX 85 62 85 64 88 / 50 60 40 50 30
CANYON TX 86 60 83 63 86 / 30 60 40 40 30
CLARENDON TX 87 63 80 67 85 / 50 60 40 30 30
DALHART TX 80 58 83 62 87 / 50 60 40 50 30
GUYMON OK 78 59 84 63 87 / 50 60 40 40 20
HEREFORD TX 87 61 83 63 86 / 20 60 40 50 30
LIPSCOMB TX 78 61 82 64 87 / 50 50 30 30 20
PAMPA TX 81 61 80 63 84 / 50 60 40 30 30
SHAMROCK TX 84 64 80 65 86 / 50 60 30 30 30
WELLINGTON TX 86 66 82 65 89 / 50 60 40 30 30
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
&&
$$
08/15